Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.241177 0.278837 0.321777 0.374642 0.438360 0.513163 0.608337
2025-09-07 0.185720 0.234714 0.297040 0.383405 0.501992 0.662145 0.900131
2025-09-14 0.148709 0.199797 0.269961 0.375878 0.536282 0.778010 1.186070
2025-09-21 0.127348 0.179548 0.255758 0.379168 0.582175 0.918811 1.556904
2025-09-28 0.110973 0.162662 0.241981 0.378164 0.618565 1.052159 1.965614
2025-10-05 0.100886 0.153177 0.237163 0.389443 0.676966 1.240003 2.560244
2025-10-12 0.092222 0.144375 0.231557 0.397516 0.730663 1.435127 3.267217
2025-10-19 0.084858 0.136519 0.226037 0.404172 0.782708 1.643824 4.123522
2025-10-26 0.079410 0.131101 0.223797 0.416368 0.849228 1.909356 5.305139
2025-11-02 0.073666 0.124360 0.218015 0.420083 0.897696 2.149115 6.582419
2025-11-09 0.068312 0.117645 0.211262 0.420332 0.938010 2.383686 8.033852
2025-11-16 0.063286 0.110947 0.203596 0.417081 0.968798 2.604521 9.635460
2025-11-23 0.058353 0.103996 0.194722 0.410001 0.989421 2.809608 11.412030
2025-11-30 0.055547 0.100913 0.193485 0.420922 1.063737 3.231760 14.791327
2025-12-07 0.051466 0.094841 0.185097 0.412734 1.080587 3.461223 17.451143
2025-12-14 0.048732 0.091235 0.181633 0.416468 1.135438 3.868712 21.926358
2025-12-21 0.045921 0.087185 0.176665 0.415354 1.174943 4.239859 26.896600
2025-12-28 0.044276 0.085438 0.176738 0.427992 1.265315 4.897996 35.862495
2026-01-04 0.042528 0.083289 0.175592 0.437042 1.346892 5.578692 47.193464
2026-01-11 0.040821 0.081063 0.173986 0.444507 1.426000 6.314516 62.010291
2026-01-18 0.039564 0.079726 0.174396 0.458192 1.535402 7.323331 85.585334
2026-01-25 0.037915 0.077336 0.171877 0.462363 1.608265 8.186347 112.269718
2026-02-01 0.036208 0.074663 0.168331 0.462642 1.665411 9.011014 144.627420